Deep Dive on NVDA in 90 Seconds — Fundamental + Technical in One Report

# Stock Analysis — On-demand via Telegram
name: stock-deep-dive
trigger: "analyze {TICKER}"
channel: telegram

task: |
  Run full fundamental + technical analysis on {TICKER}.

  FUNDAMENTAL:
  - P/E, Forward P/E, PEG ratio
  - Revenue growth (YoY, QoQ), gross/operating/net margins
  - Free cash flow, FCF yield
  - DCF fair value (3 scenarios: bull/base/bear)
  - Balance sheet: debt/equity, current ratio, cash position

  TECHNICAL:
  - RSI (14-day), MACD, signal line
  - 50-day and 200-day SMA, current price vs both
  - Support and resistance levels (3 each)
  - Volume trend (20-day avg vs current)

  PEER COMPARISON:
  - Compare against sector peers on 10 key metrics

  OUTPUT:
  - Buy / Hold / Sell recommendation
  - Confidence level (1-10)
  - Key risk factors
  - Price targets (bear/base/bull)

async def analyze_stock(ticker: str):
    # Parallel data fetch
    overview = await alpha_vantage.get_company_overview(ticker)
    income = await alpha_vantage.get_income_statement(ticker)
    balance = await alpha_vantage.get_balance_sheet(ticker)
    cashflow = await alpha_vantage.get_cash_flow(ticker)
    daily = await alpha_vantage.get_daily_prices(ticker, days=365)

    # Fundamental analysis
    fundamentals = {
        "pe_ratio": overview["PERatio"],
        "forward_pe": overview["ForwardPE"],
        "peg": overview["PEGRatio"],
        "rev_growth_yoy": calc_growth(income, "totalRevenue", periods=4),
        "gross_margin": calc_margin(income, "grossProfit", "totalRevenue"),
        "fcf_yield": calc_fcf_yield(cashflow, overview["MarketCapitalization"]),
    }

    # DCF Model
    dcf = run_dcf(
        fcf=cashflow[0]["operatingCashflow"] - cashflow[0]["capitalExpenditures"],
        growth_rates={"bull": 0.25, "base": 0.18, "bear": 0.10},
        discount_rate=0.10,
        terminal_growth=0.03,
        years=10
    )

    # Technical indicators
    technicals = {
        "rsi_14": calc_rsi(daily, period=14),
        "macd": calc_macd(daily),
        "sma_50": calc_sma(daily, 50),
        "sma_200": calc_sma(daily, 200),
        "support": find_support_levels(daily, n=3),
        "resistance": find_resistance_levels(daily, n=3),
    }

    # Peer comparison
    peers = await analyze_peers(ticker, ["AMD", "INTC"])

    return synthesize_recommendation(fundamentals, dcf, technicals, peers)

📊 NVDA DEEP DIVE — 90-Second Analysis

PRICE: $142.80 | MCap: $3.51T

FUNDAMENTALS:
  P/E: 38.2 | Fwd P/E: 28.4 | PEG: 1.2
  Rev Growth: +94% YoY | +22% QoQ
  Gross Margin: 74.8% | Op Margin: 62.1%
  FCF: $41.2B | FCF Yield: 1.17%

DCF FAIR VALUE:
  🐻 Bear: $118 (-17.4%)
  📊 Base: $156 (+9.2%)
  🐂 Bull: $198 (+38.7%)

TECHNICALS:
  RSI(14): 58 — neutral
  MACD: bullish crossover 3 days ago
  Price vs 50 SMA: +4.2% above
  Price vs 200 SMA: +28.1% above
  Support: $134 / $128 / $119
  Resistance: $148 / $156 / $168

PEER COMPARISON (NVDA vs AMD vs INTC):
  Revenue Growth:  94% / 18% / -8%
  Gross Margin:    74.8% / 49.2% / 41.1%
  P/E Ratio:       38.2 / 42.1 / N/A (neg)
  FCF Yield:       1.17% / 1.84% / 0.62%
  R&D % Revenue:   17.2% / 22.8% / 31.4%

RECOMMENDATION: HOLD ✋
Confidence: 7/10

Rationale: Trading near base-case fair value.
Technicals neutral-positive. Growth justifies premium
but limited upside from current price. Wait for
pullback to $134 support for add, or breakout
above $148 resistance for momentum entry.

RISK FACTORS:
⚠️ China export restrictions tightening
⚠️ Customer concentration (hyperscaler dependency)
⚠️ Multiple compression if growth decelerates